For years, I had heard that in Chinese, the word for crisis is the
same as the word for opportunity. Recently I learned that the more
popular story is that the Chinese word for crisis consists of two
characters: one meaning danger, and one meaning opportunity. Both
stories are interesting, but neither is true. While there’s some
disagreement, there is little evidence to suggest that the word for
crisis was derived in such a way.
But etymology aside, a crisis and an opportunity really aren’t that
different, are they? Each is a critical point at which events will turn
for the better or for the worse. A mishandled opportunity become a
crisis, and a well-managed crisis becomes an opportunity. The most
important factor is not the challenge itself, but how you handle it.
Everyone knows that the U.S. is in the middle of a huge financial
meltdown. But the events are what they are, and worrying about things
won’t change them. So you can either address the situation as a crisis
or as an opportunity.
To treat it as a crisis, you should live in fear. Even though the banks are FDIC-insured, you can go withdraw all your cash in case there’s a run on the banks. To protect yourself against the collapsing dollar, you can convert most of your cash to gold and keep it in your basement. With the cash you have left, you can buy food and supplies to keep you alive when the world collapses. Of course, having all this gold and food and such will make you a target, so you’ll need to arm yourself appropriately.
To treat it as a crisis, you should live in fear. Even though the banks are FDIC-insured, you can go withdraw all your cash in case there’s a run on the banks. To protect yourself against the collapsing dollar, you can convert most of your cash to gold and keep it in your basement. With the cash you have left, you can buy food and supplies to keep you alive when the world collapses. Of course, having all this gold and food and such will make you a target, so you’ll need to arm yourself appropriately.
On the other hand, to treat it as an opportunity,
you’ll need to be bold and courageous enough to make the situation work
in your favor. The downside of this path is that it’s a lot harder to
figure out what to do. After all, panicking is easy. But taking
constructive action when everyone is losing their head, that takes guts
and vision.
Here are some ways of turning an apparent crisis into an opportunity:
1. Take advantage of unfounded pessimism
Because of all the news of bank failures and rampant speculation,
bank stocks have been a wild ride lately, and some of them have been
undervalued by overreacting investors. This has created some great
opportunities for those with the appropriate knowledge, risk tolerance,
and yes, luck.
On September 29th, Wachovia stock went as low as $0.01. The next day,
it reached $3.70. Market timing is notoriously difficult, and
personally I don’t recommend it. However, for someone who was brave
enough to invest in a high-risk stock and lucky enough to time it
perfectly, it was possible to turn $10,000 into $3.7 million in one day.
2. Take advantage of low competition
I’ve seen a lot of people saying that because of the economy, they’ve
decided not to start the business they were planning on, or to put
their business on hold and resume it when things turn around, or to
slash their prices because no customers have any money.
While this makes sense at some level, I think most people are
overreacting. And when everyone decides it’s not a good time to do
something, that reduces your competition tremendously. Now might not be a
great time for certain types of businesses, but the low competition
makes it a wonderful time for other types of businesses.
3. Use this time to reassess your life plan
When bad things are happening, it sometimes makes you stop and think
about where your life is going. While you can do this at any time, we
tend to be stuck on autopilot until we encounter obstacles on the course
we’re on. Unusual times can give you a much-needed wakeup call.
During this time, some people have decided that they’re in the wrong
career, or they want to be self-employed, or they want to move to a
different part of the country, or they want to get married, or they want
to have a kid, or any number of things. Take a minute to ask yourself
if your life is still moving in the direction you want.
Every critical juncture has the potential to become either a crisis or an opportunity. What will you make of this one?
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